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Fleury-Merogis vs Arras

France France

National 2 - Group D 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

Fleury-Merogis in this National 2 - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fleury-Merogis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fleury-Merogis
30%
Draws
31%
Arras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fleury-Merogis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Fleury-Merogis have won more games recently than Arras.
  • Model gives Fleury-Merogis a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fleury-Merogis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 20%
Arras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury-Merogis Arras
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2019 National 2 - Group D
Fleury-Merogis vs Arras
5:4
Aug 11, 2018 National 2 - Group D
Arras vs Fleury-Merogis
1:2
Apr 7, 2018 National 1 - Group C
Arras vs Fleury-Merogis
1:0
Nov 19, 2017 National 1 - Group C
Fleury-Merogis vs Arras
2:0
Apr 8, 2017 National 1 - Group B
Arras vs Fleury-Merogis
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury-Merogis 58 / 100
Arras 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury-Merogis Arras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury-Merogis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arras let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Fleury-Merogis found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (40 games).

Fleury-Merogis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fleury-Merogis VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury-Merogis

(Home)
05 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
6 : 1
Villefranche
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
20 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Orleans
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
07 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 0
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 8

Arras

(Away)
16 Nov
Arras
0 : 2
Valenciennes
14 Feb
Loon Plage
2 : 1
Arras
07 Feb
Arras
2 : 1
St Quentin
25 May
Fleury-Merogis
5 : 4
Arras
18 May
Arras
3 : 3
Haguenau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Creteil 30 17 8 5 55:21 59
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 13 10 7 55:37 49
3 Sedan 30 12 11 7 39:29 47
4 Lille II 30 13 11 6 48:36 46
5 Sainte-Genevieve 30 13 6 11 38:39 45
6 IC Croix 30 13 4 13 38:44 43
7 Schiltigheim 30 11 9 10 40:38 42
8 Epinal 30 11 9 10 33:37 42
9 Reims II 30 11 8 11 34:36 41
10 Fleury-Merogis 30 9 12 9 48:50 39
11 Lens II 30 10 7 13 46:44 37
12 Belfort 30 8 11 11 24:31 35
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 9 8 13 33:44 34
14 Haguenau 30 7 10 13 35:42 31
15 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 7 10 13 33:43 31
16 Arras 30 3 12 15 35:63 21
Promotion - National 2019/2020 (Main)