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Fleury-Merogis vs Boulogne

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Bultel J.
90' Event
Fatar N.

AI Match Summary

Boulogne in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boulogne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Fleury-Merogis
6%
Draws
90%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Boulogne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fleury-Merogis lately — more wins on the board than Boulogne.
  • Model gives Boulogne a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fleury-Merogis have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 23%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fleury-Merogis Boulogne
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Fleury-Merogis vs Boulogne
0:2
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Fleury-Merogis vs Boulogne
2:1
Jun 3, 2023 National 1 - Group B
Fleury-Merogis vs Boulogne
1:0
Aug 20, 2022 National 1 - Group B
Boulogne vs Fleury-Merogis
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Bultel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fatar N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fleury-Merogis 10 / 100
Boulogne 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fleury-Merogis Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury-Merogis found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Boulogne let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Boulogne lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fleury-Merogis VS Boulogne
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fleury-Merogis

(Home)
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
11 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 5
Nantes
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
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Boulogne

(Away)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
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