Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flora vs Levadia

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Flora Logo

Flora

1 - 3
FT
Levadia Logo

Levadia

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sappinen R.
Assist: Alamaa S.
22' Event
Skvortsov M.
(Penalty)
47'
Kollo A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Levadia in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Flora
6%
Draws
90%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flora haven't matched Levadia's recent run of results.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Levadia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.75 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Flora
1:2
Jun 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Levadia
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Flora
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Flora vs Levadia
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Levadia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Sappinen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ainsalu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 10 / 100
Levadia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flora scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Levadia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Flora has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Levadia
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)
23 Jul
Flora
1 : 0
TNS
17 Jul
Flora
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
14 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 2
Flora
08 Jul
Flora
2 : 3
Iberia 1999
02 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 3
Flora
Page 1 of 6

Levadia

(Away)
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3
Levadia
28 Jun
Levadia
1 : 2
Flora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)