Sport Picks

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Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kaares A.
41' Event
Kukkonen M.
Assist: Kaares A.
59' Event
Jakovenko A.
Assist: Kukkonen M.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Flora Tallinn U21 and FC Tallinn finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora Tallinn U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Flora Tallinn U21
33%
Draws
27%
FC Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flora Tallinn U21 come out ahead of FC Tallinn on wins alone.
  • Flora Tallinn U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 16%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora Tallinn U21 FC Tallinn
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 2 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn
5:0
Oct 27, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs FC Tallinn
2:4
Aug 2, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaares A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kukkonen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Tallinn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 39 / 100
FC Tallinn 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora Tallinn U21 FC Tallinn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

FC Tallinn has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Flora Tallinn U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flora Tallinn U21 VS FC Tallinn
2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora Tallinn U21

(Home)
25 Jul
Kalju U21
0 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
22 Jul
Narva
1 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
18 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
12 Jul
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
09 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
3 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 6

FC Tallinn

(Away)
28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1
Tallinna FC Zapoos
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2
FC Tallinn
11 Jul
FC Tallinn
0 : 3
Elva
04 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
21 Jun
Levadia U21
4 : 0
FC Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK20105534:1935
3Flora Tallinn U2120104651:3834
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U2120551036:4820
10Kalju U2120541130:5119
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)