Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2015

Kivioli Irbis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Flora Tallinn U21 play Kivioli Irbis in the Esiliiga 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Flora Tallinn U21 averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. Kivioli Irbis averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Flora Tallinn U21 won 2, Kivioli Irbis won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 25, 2015 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Flora Tallinn U21 and 1.25 for Kivioli Irbis. This points to a Flora Tallinn U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Flora Tallinn U21

24%

Draws

34%

Kivioli Irbis

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Flora Tallinn U21 picked up more points recently compared to Kivioli Irbis.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 19%

Kivioli Irbis Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Flora Tallinn U21	Kivioli Irbis
Matches Played	40	30
Wins	21	13
Draws	7	4
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	2.17	1.9
Goals Conceded	1.68	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2015 Esiliiga

Flora Tallinn U21 vs Kivioli Irbis

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Aug 1, 2015 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Flora Tallinn U21

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

May 31, 2015 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Flora Tallinn U21

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Apr 12, 2015 Esiliiga

Flora Tallinn U21 vs Kivioli Irbis

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Oct 15, 2014 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Flora Tallinn U21

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora Tallinn U21 42 / 100

Kivioli Irbis 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Flora Tallinn U21 Kivioli Irbis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flora Tallinn U21 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Flora Tallinn U21 attacking → ← attacking Kivioli Irbis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21 scored in 83% of their last 40 games.

Kivioli Irbis let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Flora Tallinn U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kivioli Irbis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 43

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flora Tallinn U21	36	22	6	8	76:40	72
2	Levadia Tallinn II	36	22	5	9	118:57	71
3	FCI Tallinn II	36	20	6	10	108:48	66
4	Rakvere	36	12	11	13	52:53	47
5	Kalju II	36	14	4	18	50:56	46
6	Tallinna Kalev	36	13	7	16	47:59	46
7	Kivioli Irbis	36	13	5	18	60:87	44
8	Santos Tartu	36	12	6	18	56:83	42
9	Vandra Vaprus	36	11	5	20	43:80	38
10	Kuressaare	36	10	7	19	48:95	37