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Flora U19 vs FC Ararat

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2014
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Flora U19 host FC Ararat in the Esiliiga B 2014. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FC Ararat have shipped 2.8 goals a game lately, while Flora U19 have conceded 2.88 and scored 3.75. Past meetings favor Flora U19 slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2015, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 3.27 vs 2.54, favoring Flora U19. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Flora U19
6%
Draws
90%
FC Ararat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flora U19 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Ararat.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FC Ararat.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Esiliiga B 2014 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Flora U19 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora U19 FC Ararat
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 3.75 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Flora U19
0:4
Jul 16, 2015 Esiliiga B
Flora U19 vs FC Ararat
3:3
Jul 8, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Flora U19
0:3
Mar 4, 2015 Esiliiga B
Flora U19 vs FC Ararat
4:7
Oct 23, 2014 Esiliiga B
Flora U19 vs FC Ararat
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora U19 10 / 100
FC Ararat 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora U19 FC Ararat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora U19 scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

FC Ararat let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Flora U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Ararat lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flora U19 VS FC Ararat
3.75 Goals Scored 2.2
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 80%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FCI Tallinn II363141124:3497
2Santos Tartu363204161:2796
3Viimsi JK361851371:8159
4Sillamae Kalev II361741574:6455
5Maardu Linnameeskond361621870:8550
6Elva361251945:7941
7FC Alliance361142153:7737
8FC Ararat36952255:8032
9Legion36762353:11127
10Flora U1936832544:11227