Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2025/2026 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn

Flora

14 - 0

Helm

Our Tip

Match Events

Andreas D.

13'

Kaares A.

26'

Lepik M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 14-0, with Flora advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Flora

15%

Draws

42%

Helm

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Helm haven't matched Flora's recent run of results.
Helm are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Flora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Flora, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 94%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Helm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Flora	Helm
Matches Played	29	15
Wins	18	7
Draws	2	0
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	2.34	4.07
Goals Conceded	1.21	4.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Estonian Cup

Flora vs Helm

14:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaares A.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Lepik M.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Helm Compare

Avg xG / game 3.64

Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora 10 / 100

Helm 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Flora Helm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Helm Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flora scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 14.00 goals.

Helm has conceded goals in 73% of their last 15 outings.

Helm lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Flora VS Helm

1.75 Goals Scored 16

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

(Home)

23 Aug

Parnu JK Vaprus

1 : 2

Flora

16 Aug

Flora

2 : 3

Kuressaare

13 Aug

Flora

0 : 4

Inter Escaldes

06 Aug

Inter Escaldes

2 : 0

Flora

02 Aug

Flora

1 : 0

Harju JK Laagri

Page 1 of 6

Helm

(Away)

23 Jul

JK Poseidon

3 : 2

Helm

18 Jun

Helm

30 : 0

Deliirium

20 Aug

Flora

14 : 0

Helm

01 Aug

Kohvile

0 : 4

Helm

28 Aug

Helm

1 : 5

Elva

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Flora -

TBD -

Kohvile -

TBD -

Helm -

Levadia -

TBD -

Flora U18 -

TBD -

Flora Tallinn U21 -

Tabasalu Ulasabat -

TBD -

Eston Villa -

Harju JK Laagri -

TBD -

TransferWise -

Tallinna Wolves 6

Soccernet 4

TBD -

Raasiku Joker -

Nomme Utd -

TBD -

Harju JK Laagri III -

Saue JK Laagri -

TBD -

Maksatransport -

Tartu JK Welco 2 -

TBD -

Narva -

Lootus JK Jarve -

TBD -

JK Arsenal 2

Rae Spordikool 4

FC Tallinn -

TBD -

Zealot Sporting -

Johvi Phoenix -

TBD -

Kose II -

TBD -

Kalju -

Viimsi JK -

TBD -

TalTech JK -

Tamper -

TBD -

Rumori Calcio -

Kose -

TBD -

Kuressaare -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

Flora U19 -

TBD -

Vastseliina Tannem -

Tammeka Tartu -

TBD -

Tabasalu -

Tartu Kalev 1

Elva 2

TBD -

Legion -

Viimsi Lovid -

TBD -

Tallinna Smsraha -

Tallinna Kalev III -

TBD -

EstHam United -

Hiiumaa -

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev -

Tallinna FC Zapoos -

TBD -

FC Hell Hunt 2

FC Lootos Polva 0

Raplamaa 1

Saku Sporting 5

Marjamaa Kompanii 4

Kubik 0

Parnu JK Vaprus -

TBD -

Olympic Tallinn 0

Tulevik 6

Jarva-Jaani -

TBD -

Keila JK 5

Kallaste United 2

Maardu Aliens -

TBD -

JK Poseidon -

Tallinna Kalev U21 6

Vana Hea Puur 0

Laanemaa Haapsalu 2

Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 1

Tartu JK Welco 16

Kuusalu Kalev 0

TBD -

Tartu Helios -

Arukula Vigri -

TBD -

Kristiine -

1/32-finals

Flora -

TBD -

Kohvile 0

Helm 4

Levadia -

TBD -

Flora U18 1

Flora Tallinn U21 12

Tabasalu Ulasabat 13

Eston Villa 0

Harju JK Laagri 26

TransferWise 0

Tallinna Wolves 3

Raasiku Joker 4

Nomme Utd 5

Harju JK Laagri III 1

Saue JK Laagri 6

Maksatransport 1

Tartu JK Welco 2 0

Narva 8

Lootus JK Jarve 1

Rae Spordikool 10

FC Tallinn 7

Zealot Sporting 1

Johvi Phoenix -

Kose II -

TBD -

Kalju -

Viimsi JK 7

TalTech JK 1

Tamper 4

Rumori Calcio 2

Kose 0

Kuressaare 7

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

Flora U19 -

Vastseliina Tannem -

Tammeka Tartu 6

Tabasalu 0

Elva 3

Legion 0

Viimsi Lovid 0

Tallinna Smsraha 7

Tallinna Kalev III 9

EstHam United 0

Hiiumaa 0

Tallinna Kalev 3

Tallinna FC Zapoos 7

FC Hell Hunt 0

Saku Sporting 3

Marjamaa Kompanii 2

Parnu JK Vaprus 13

Tulevik 0

Jarva-Jaani 1

Keila JK 4

Maardu Aliens 1

JK Poseidon 4

Tallinna Kalev U21 2

Laanemaa Haapsalu 0

Tartu JK Welco 3

Tartu Helios 0

Arukula Vigri 0

Kristiine 4

1/16-finals

Flora 14

Helm 0

Levadia 4

Flora Tallinn U21 0

Tabasalu Ulasabat 0

Harju JK Laagri 3

Raasiku Joker 1

Nomme Utd 4

Saue JK Laagri 0

Narva 4

Rae Spordikool 0

FC Tallinn 9

Johvi Phoenix 1

Kalju 6

Viimsi JK 4

Tamper 1

Kuressaare 1

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Flora U19 1

Tammeka Tartu 8

Elva 3

Tallinna Smsraha 2

Tallinna Kalev III 1

Tallinna Kalev 8

Tallinna FC Zapoos 3

Saku Sporting 0

Parnu JK Vaprus 9

Keila JK 0

JK Poseidon 1

Tallinna Kalev U21 0

Tartu JK Welco 8

Kristiine 0

1/8-finals

Flora 3

Levadia 1

Harju JK Laagri 0

Nomme Utd 1

Narva 6

FC Tallinn 0

Kalju 0

Viimsi JK 1

Paide Linnameeskond 3

Tammeka Tartu 0

Elva 1

Tallinna Kalev 2

Tallinna FC Zapoos 2

Parnu JK Vaprus 4

JK Poseidon 0

Tartu JK Welco 6

Quarter-finals

Flora 3

Nomme Utd 1

Narva 4

Viimsi JK 3

Paide Linnameeskond 6

Tallinna Kalev 0

Parnu JK Vaprus 2

Tartu JK Welco 1

Semi-finals

Flora 1

Narva 0

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Parnu JK Vaprus 0

Final

Flora 5

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Flora vs Helm

Estonia

Flora

Helm

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Flora Compare

Helm Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Flora

Helm

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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