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Flora W vs Elva W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Pihlak G.
17' Event
Smirnova D.
23' Event
Tullus K.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women game between Flora W and Elva W finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Flora W
15%
Draws
21%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flora W come out ahead of Elva W on wins alone.
  • Flora W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flora W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Flora W Clean Sheet 68%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flora W Elva W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 3.6 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 4.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Flora W
3:2
Aug 8, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Flora W
0:2
May 16, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Flora W vs Elva W
7:1
Apr 25, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Flora W
0:4
Nov 4, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Flora W
0:11

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flora W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kudjavnina D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pihlak G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudsi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flora W 95 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flora W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Elva W conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Flora W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flora W VS Elva W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Flora W

(Home)
20 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
0 : 5
Flora W
12 Sept
Flora W
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond W
06 Sept
Viimsi JK W
1 : 3
Flora W
02 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
1 : 5
Flora W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
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Elva W

(Away)
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
23 Aug
Elva W
1 : 4
Saku Sporting W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 19 12 3 4 55:23 39
2 Paide Linnameeskond W 19 13 0 6 54:30 39
3 Saku Sporting W 19 10 2 7 51:42 32
4 Viimsi JK W 19 9 3 7 41:31 30
5 Harju JK Laagri W 19 4 3 12 30:52 15
6 Elva W 19 3 1 15 25:78 10
Relegation - Meistriliiga Women (Relegation)