Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Floreat Athena vs Murdoch University Melville

Australia Australia

WA State League Litis Stadium, Leederville
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Harris S.
47' Event
Lewis H.
70' Event
Wassholm T.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Floreat Athena and Murdoch University Melville finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Floreat Athena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Floreat Athena
6%
Draws
4%
Murdoch University Melville
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Floreat Athena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Floreat Athena come out ahead of Murdoch University Melville on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Floreat Athena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Floreat Athena Clean Sheet 19%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floreat Athena Murdoch University Melville
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Floreat Athena
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 WA State League
Floreat Athena vs Murdoch University Melville
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floreat Athena Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wassholm T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Murdoch University Melville Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floreat Athena 85 / 100
Murdoch University Melville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floreat Athena Murdoch University Melville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floreat Athena scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Murdoch University Melville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Floreat Athena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floreat Athena VS Murdoch University Melville
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Floreat Athena

(Home)
25 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 2
Floreat Athena
18 Jul
Floreat Athena
2 : 1
Quinns
11 Jul
Curtin University
0 : 4
Floreat Athena
04 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
2 : 2
Floreat Athena
27 Jun
Floreat Athena
2 : 0
Inglewood Utd
Page 1 of 6

Murdoch University Melville

(Away)
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2
Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
04 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
2 : 2
Floreat Athena
27 Jun
Quinns
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena18133242:1842
2UWA Nedlands18122441:2338
3Mandurah City18103543:3233
4Joondalup City18102633:2732
5Inglewood Utd1884618:1928
6Kingsley Westside1882829:2626
7Quinns1873825:3424
8Gwelup Croatia SC1856728:3621
9Murdoch University Melville1847733:3719
10Cockburn City1854929:3819
11Subiaco18411329:4213
12Curtin University18231315:339
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)