Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Daniel Troiano
36'
36'
Tiago Marques
54'
54'
Islan
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between Floresta EC and Santa Cruz finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Cruz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz come out ahead of Floresta EC on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Floresta EC | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz
1:1
Oct 20, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Santa Cruz vs Floresta EC
3:4
Aug 7, 2021 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz
0:2
Jun 5, 2021 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Floresta EC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Floresta EC Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel Troiano
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Santa Cruz Compare
Top Goalscorer Tiago Marques
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Floresta EC 32 / 100
Santa Cruz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Floresta EC Santa Cruz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Santa Cruz conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Floresta EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Floresta EC's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Floresta EC VS Santa Cruz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Floresta EC
(Home) 27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1 Maringa FC
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0 Floresta EC
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0 Floresta EC
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1 Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1 Maringa FC
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
14 Jun
Floresta EC
1 : 2 Figueirense
30 May
Floresta EC
1 : 0 Confianca
16 May
Floresta EC
3 : 2 Amazonas
Page 1 of 3
Santa Cruz
(Away) 25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Figueirense
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2 Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0 Ituano
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3 Santa Cruz
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Ypiranga FC
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2 Santa Cruz
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3 Santa Cruz
14 Jun
Brusque
0 : 1 Santa Cruz
23 May
Maringa FC
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
11 May
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 2 Santa Cruz
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 27 |
| 2 | Guarani | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28:15 | 26 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:16 | 25 |
| 4 | Internacional de Limeira | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 25 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15:11 | 24 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 7 | Maringa FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28:25 | 23 |
| 8 | Ferroviaria | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15:12 | 23 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 10 | SER Caxias do Sul | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:12 | 21 |
| 11 | Floresta EC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 12 | Amazonas | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | 20 |
| 13 | Figueirense | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ituano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 15 | Volta Redonda | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Maranhao | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | 18 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:18 | 17 |
| 18 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 19 | Anapolis | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Confianca | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9:15 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
