Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Floresti vs Politehnica UTM

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Dinamo, Tighina
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Blajchin M.
56' Event
Yatco V.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga 2025/2026 game between Floresti and Politehnica UTM finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Floresti
20%
Draws
29%
Politehnica UTM
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floresti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Floresti's 2.03 goals per match outpaces what Politehnica UTM have produced (1.77).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Floresti taking it.
  • Regular Super Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Floresti Clean Sheet 15%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floresti Politehnica UTM
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.03 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super Liga
Floresti vs Politehnica UTM
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Floresti
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floresti Compare

Top Goalscorer Blajchin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Politehnica UTM Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floresti 35 / 100
Politehnica UTM 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floresti Politehnica UTM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Politehnica UTM let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Floresti found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Floresti stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Floresti VS Politehnica UTM
1.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Floresti

(Home)
01 Sept
Floresti
0 : 3
Edinet
27 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0
Floresti
20 May
Sparta Selemet
1 : 4
Floresti
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
09 May
Floresti
1 : 1
Politehnica UTM
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Politehnica UTM

(Away)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)