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Fluminense-SC vs Caravaggio

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Eliel Costa
33' Event
Evaristo
67' Event
da Silva G.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Fluminense-SC and Caravaggio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fluminense-SC
30%
Draws
43%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Caravaggio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Caravaggio a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Caravaggio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Caravaggio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Eliel Costa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evaristo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 10 / 100
Caravaggio 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Caravaggio let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Fluminense-SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Caravaggio
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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Caravaggio

(Away)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)