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Fonte Nova vs Pedreira

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pedreira in this Paraense B2 2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fonte Nova
30%
Draws
47%
Pedreira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pedreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fonte Nova haven't matched Pedreira's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Pedreira arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pedreira, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fonte Nova Clean Sheet 17%
Pedreira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fonte Nova Pedreira
Matches Played 11 11
Wins 3 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.09 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Paraense A3
Pedreira vs Fonte Nova
2:1
Jul 23, 2024 Paraense A3
Fonte Nova vs Pedreira
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fonte Nova 31 / 100
Pedreira 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fonte Nova Pedreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fonte Nova scored in 73% of their last 11 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fonte Nova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Pedreira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fonte Nova VS Pedreira
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fonte Nova

(Home)
13 Nov
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Uniao Paraense
09 Nov
Izabelense
5 : 0
Fonte Nova
05 Nov
Fonte Nova
0 : 2
Amazonia IFC
31 Oct
Amazonia IFC
1 : 1
Fonte Nova
28 Oct
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Izabelense
Page 1 of 3

Pedreira

(Away)
11 Sept
Venus
0 : 1
Pedreira
20 Oct
Paraense SC
6 : 0
Pedreira
15 Oct
Pedreira
2 : 3
Belenense
04 Oct
Pedreira
4 : 0
Paraense SC
01 Oct
Belenense
1 : 0
Pedreira
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Pedreira 4
Fonte Nova 2
Amazonia IFC 5
Tesla 2
Final
Pedreira 4
Amazonia IFC 0