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Stadium Background

Forde vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Hallstensen T.
69' Event
Hallstensen T.
75' Event
Eidesvik M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 game between Forde and Varegg finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Forde
20%
Draws
23%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Varegg haven't matched Forde's recent run of results.
  • Forde are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Forde Clean Sheet 16%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forde Varegg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.38 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Forde vs Varegg
3:1
Sep 15, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Forde
0:0
May 26, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Varegg
2:2
Oct 21, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Forde
4:2
Jul 9, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Varegg
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forde Compare

Top Goalscorer Hallstensen T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leversund N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Varegg Compare

Top Goalscorer Eidesvik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forde 66 / 100
Varegg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forde Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varegg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Forde scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Forde has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forde VS Varegg
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Forde

(Home)
05 Sept
OS TF
2 : 0
Forde
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
22 Aug
Floro
2 : 4
Forde
15 Aug
Gneist IL
1 : 2
Forde
08 Aug
Forde
7 : 0
Brann 2
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Varegg

(Away)
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
08 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 4
Varegg
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