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Forest Rangers vs Red Arrows

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
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Match Events

51' Event
Mubanga N.

AI Match Summary

Red Arrows in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Arrows.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Forest Rangers
30%
Draws
43%
Red Arrows
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Red Arrows have won more games recently than Forest Rangers.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Forest Rangers Clean Sheet 16%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Rangers Red Arrows
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 18
Draws 14 9
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.87 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Red Arrows
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Super League
Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers
1:0
Jan 13, 2024 Super League
Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers
2:0
Sep 3, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Red Arrows
0:0
Apr 1, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Red Arrows
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forest Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Red Arrows Compare

Top Goalscorer Mubanga N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Rangers 36 / 100
Red Arrows 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Rangers Red Arrows

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Forest Rangers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Forest Rangers's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Red Arrows let in goals in 38% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Red Arrows
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forest Rangers

(Home)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Forest Rangers
0 : 1
Red Arrows
19 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 1
Forest Rangers
09 Apr
Forest Rangers
0 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
02 Apr
Green Eagles
1 : 1
Forest Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Red Arrows

(Away)
20 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Red Arrows
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
05 Sept
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
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