Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forfar Athletic vs Hibernian B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Station Park, Forfar
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Richardson J.
Assist: Cannon N.

AI Match Summary

Forfar Athletic in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Forfar Athletic
20%
Draws
40%
Hibernian B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Forfar Athletic have won more games recently than Hibernian B.
  • Forfar Athletic are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Forfar Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Forfar Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Hibernian B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forfar Athletic Hibernian B
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Hibernian B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forfar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Richardson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hibernian B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forfar Athletic 34 / 100
Hibernian B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forfar Athletic Hibernian B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hibernian B conceded in 87% of 15 recent games.

Forfar Athletic found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Hibernian B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Forfar Athletic VS Hibernian B
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forfar Athletic

(Home)
05 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Stranraer
28 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 1
Forfar Athletic
22 Aug
Clyde
3 : 0
Forfar Athletic
15 Aug
Forfar Athletic
3 : 0
Stirling
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6

Hibernian B

(Away)
25 Aug
Queen of the South
1 : 0
Hibernian B
11 Aug
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Hibernian B
18 Jul
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 0
Hibernian B
17 Nov
Montrose
4 : 4
Hibernian B
11 Oct
Peterhead
0 : 4
Hibernian B
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)