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Forge FC vs Supra du Quebec

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Wed, Aug 19, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forge FC host Supra du Quebec in the Canadian Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Forge FC at 1.88 goals for, 1 against; Supra du Quebec at 2 for, 2.25 against. Past meetings favor Forge FC slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.50, favoring Forge FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Forge FC
11%
Draws
9%
Supra du Quebec
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Forge FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Forge FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 16%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC Supra du Quebec
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Forge FC
1:2
May 13, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Supra du Quebec
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 75 / 100
Supra du Quebec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC Supra du Quebec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forge FC scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Supra du Quebec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 14 matches.

Forge FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS Supra du Quebec
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Inter Toronto
1 : 3
Forge FC
12 Jul
Forge FC
2 : 1
CS Saint-Laurent
08 Jul
CS Saint-Laurent
1 : 1
Forge FC
05 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2
Forge FC
01 Jul
Forge FC
3 : 2
Vancouver FC
Page 1 of 7

Supra du Quebec

(Away)
24 Jul
HFX Wanderers
2 : 3
Supra du Quebec
17 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 5
Vancouver FC
08 Jul
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
05 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2
Forge FC
09 Jun
Atletico Ottawa
5 : 3
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forge FC13111123:834
2Cavalry1383223:727
3Atletico Ottawa1463522:2521
4Vancouver FC1462621:1520
5HFX Wanderers1544720:2416
6Supra du Quebec1242618:2314
7Inter Toronto1234515:2513
8Pacific FC13031015:303
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)