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Forjaes vs U. Madeira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Sun, Jan 23, 2022
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forjaes host U. Madeira in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022. Forjaes are expected to control this from the start. U. Madeira have shipped 3.78 goals a game lately, while Forjaes have conceded 2.19 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Forjaes have won 1 to U. Madeira's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.69) point toward Forjaes. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Forjaes
20%
Draws
16%
U. Madeira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forjaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forjaes come out ahead of U. Madeira on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Forjaes Clean Sheet 13%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forjaes U. Madeira
Matches Played 26 9
Wins 5 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0.33
Goals Conceded 2.19 3.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs U. Madeira
0:0
Oct 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Forjaes
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forjaes 31 / 100
U. Madeira 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forjaes U. Madeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Madeira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Madeira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 9 matches.

Attacking prowess: Forjaes scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

U. Madeira's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Forjaes VS U. Madeira
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forjaes

(Home)
08 May
Forjaes
0 : 3
SC Vianense
01 May
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Forjaes
24 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 4
Forjaes
10 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
Forjaes
03 Apr
Forjaes
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

U. Madeira

(Away)
21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0
U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1
SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Forjaes
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)