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Fortaleza B vs Ceara B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes 2024
Fortaleza B Logo

Fortaleza B

3 - 1
FT
Ceara B Logo

Ceara B

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Canela K.
20' Event
Lucca Prior
63' Event
Gabriel Rocha
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza B in this Copa Fares Lopes 2024 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fortaleza B
30%
Draws
42%
Ceara B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceara B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ceara B lately — more wins on the board than Fortaleza B.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ceara B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza B, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Fortaleza B Clean Sheet 68%
Ceara B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza B Ceara B
Matches Played 8 9
Wins 2 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2024 Copa Fares Lopes
Fortaleza B vs Ceara B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza B Compare

Top Goalscorer Canela K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucca Prior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ceara B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza B 41 / 100
Ceara B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza B Ceara B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Fortaleza B scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Ceara B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 9 matches.

Solid form: Fortaleza B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza B VS Ceara B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza B

(Home)
01 Dec
Fortaleza B
1 : 2
Tirol
23 Nov
Fortaleza B
2 : 1
Ferroviario
15 Nov
Atletico Cearense
1 : 1
Fortaleza B
02 Nov
Itapipoca
2 : 2
Fortaleza B
25 Oct
Fortaleza B
0 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 2

Ceara B

(Away)
29 Nov
Ceara B
1 : 2
Maracana
17 Nov
Ceara B
2 : 1
Caucaia
05 Nov
Maracana
2 : 0
Ceara B
01 Nov
Tirol
0 : 1
Ceara B
26 Oct
Ceara B
4 : 0
Vila Real
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviario 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Atletico Cearense 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Fortaleza B 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Tirol 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caucaia 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
2 Floresta EC 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
3 Ceara B 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2024 (Play Offs)