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Fortaleza U20 vs Tirol U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza U20 play Tirol U20 in the Cearense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fortaleza U20 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.95 conceded. Tirol U20 averaged 1.72 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Fortaleza U20 won 2, Tirol U20 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.91 for Fortaleza U20 and 1.51 for Tirol U20. This points to a Fortaleza U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Fortaleza U20
26%
Draws
36%
Tirol U20
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Fortaleza U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza U20 picked up more points recently compared to Tirol U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.91 vs 1.51 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Tirol U20 Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza U20 Tirol U20
Matches Played 44 29
Wins 22 15
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.95 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Tirol U20
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 Cearense U20
Tirol U20 vs Fortaleza U20
2-2
Mar 12, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Tirol U20
3-2
Feb 12, 2025 Cearense U20
Tirol U20 vs Fortaleza U20
3-1
Jan 12, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Tirol U20
2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza U20 37 / 100
Tirol U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza U20 Tirol U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortaleza U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortaleza U20 attacking → ← attacking Tirol U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza U20 scored in 86% of their last 44 games.

Tirol U20 let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Fortaleza U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tirol U20 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

79 Points in last 5 52
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.40
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.20

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Quixada U2064118:413
2Floresta EC U2064117:413
3Ferroviario U2063215:611
4Fortaleza U20422010:28
5Atletico Cearense U2062225:58
6Alianca Futebol Clube U20612310:145
7Juazeiro CE U2060062:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ceara U20642017:414
2Tirol U20633016:212
3Vila Real U20623113:59
4Horizonte U2062139:107
5Anjos do Ceu U2062047:136
6Caucaia U2051133:54
7Tiangua EC U2050051:80