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Fortuna Chemnitz vs Chemnitzer II Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

Chemnitzer II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemnitzer II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fortuna Chemnitz
15%
Draws
34%
Chemnitzer II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chemnitzer II lately — more wins on the board than Fortuna Chemnitz.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 14%
Chemnitzer II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Chemnitz Chemnitzer II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Chemnitzer II
2:5
Mar 24, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Chemnitzer II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
1:1
Mar 4, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Chemnitzer II
2:2
Sep 10, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Chemnitzer II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Chemnitz 30 / 100
Chemnitzer II 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Chemnitz Chemnitzer II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Chemnitz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Chemnitzer II let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Chemnitzer II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chemnitzer II
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Home)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
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Chemnitzer II

(Away)
14 Jun
Halle
3 : 0
Chemnitzer II
07 Jun
Chemnitzer II
1 : 1
Jena II
24 May
Cottbus II
2 : 0
Chemnitzer II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
10 May
Chemnitzer II
0 : 4
RB Leipzig II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)