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Fortuna Koln II vs VfL Alfter

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Tue, Oct 25, 2022
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln II host VfL Alfter in the Club Friendly 2022. Little to choose between these two on current form. VfL Alfter have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Fortuna Koln II have conceded 1.69 and scored 2.21. Head-to-head, Fortuna Koln II have won 0 to VfL Alfter's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.54 vs 1.13, favoring Fortuna Koln II. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Fortuna Koln II
15%
Draws
31%
VfL Alfter
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Koln II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • VfL Alfter haven't matched Fortuna Koln II's recent run of results.
  • Fortuna Koln II are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fortuna Koln II Clean Sheet 20%
VfL Alfter Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Koln II VfL Alfter
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Fortuna Koln II vs VfL Alfter
0:0
Apr 10, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs VfL Alfter
1:1
Sep 26, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
VfL Alfter vs Fortuna Koln II
2:0
Jun 13, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
VfL Alfter vs Fortuna Koln II
0:0
Mar 7, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs VfL Alfter
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Koln II 67 / 100
VfL Alfter 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Koln II VfL Alfter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Koln II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln II scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

VfL Alfter let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Fortuna Koln II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Koln II VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Koln II

(Home)
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
30 Aug
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
07 Jun
1. FC Duren
2 : 5
Fortuna Koln II
31 May
Fortuna Koln II
6 : 1
Sportfreunde Duren
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VfL Alfter

(Away)
07 Feb
VfL Alfter
4 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Aug
Bonner
2 : 2
VfL Alfter
03 Aug
VfL Alfter
1 : 2
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
25 Jul
VfL Alfter
3 : 1
Wachtberg
12 Jun
VfL Alfter
0 : 2
Siegburger
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