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Forward vs Smedby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Rann D.
43' Event
Frisk C.

AI Match Summary

Smedby in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smedby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Forward
35%
Draws
45%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Smedby have won more games recently than Forward.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Forward Clean Sheet 20%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Smedby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.72 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Forward
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Forward vs Smedby
0:2
Jun 25, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Forward vs Smedby
3:3
Apr 5, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Forward
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Rann D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frisk C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward 32 / 100
Smedby 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Smedby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Forward scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Smedby let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Forward has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forward VS Smedby
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Forward

(Home)
06 Sept
Forward
1 : 2
Farsta
29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1
Forward
22 Aug
Forward
0 : 1
Nacka FC
16 Aug
Forward
5 : 0
Syrianska
08 Aug
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 1
Forward
Page 1 of 6

Smedby

(Away)
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1
Forward
22 Aug
Syrianska
2 : 2
Smedby
15 Aug
Smedby
1 : 0
Eker Orebro
08 Aug
Karlslund
1 : 1
Smedby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 20 12 4 4 46:32 40
2 Farsta 20 12 3 5 44:22 39
3 Haninge 20 11 3 6 49:36 36
4 Forward 20 11 3 6 38:25 36
5 Nykopings 20 11 3 6 34:21 36
6 Smedby 20 10 5 5 39:26 35
7 Ragsved 20 9 5 6 38:32 32
8 Fittja IF 20 9 3 8 33:32 30
9 Karlslund 20 6 6 8 28:32 24
10 Orebro Syrianska 20 6 2 12 19:25 20
11 Nacka FC 20 5 3 12 22:39 18
12 Lindo FF 20 5 2 13 26:39 17
13 Syrianska 20 4 5 11 28:48 17
14 Eker Orebro 20 4 3 13 22:57 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)