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Fossano vs Borgaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ferram J.
44' Event
Bozzuto R.
48' Event
Benti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Fossano and Borgaro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fossano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fossano
15%
Draws
85%
Borgaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borgaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fossano and Borgaro have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Win probability leans Borgaro's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fossano Clean Sheet 16%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossano Borgaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.83 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Borgaro
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Fossano
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bozzuto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferram J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossano 28 / 100
Borgaro 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossano Borgaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Fossano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Borgaro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fossano VS Borgaro
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossano

(Home)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
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Borgaro

(Away)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)