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Foz do Iguacu vs AA Iguacu

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Maikinho
62' Event
Kaua Gomes
90' Event
Alex Oliveira

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2 2025 game between Foz do Iguacu and AA Iguacu finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Foz do Iguacu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Foz do Iguacu
30%
Draws
41%
AA Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AA Iguacu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Foz do Iguacu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Foz do Iguacu Clean Sheet 15%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foz do Iguacu AA Iguacu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Paranaense 2
Foz do Iguacu vs AA Iguacu
2:1
Jun 30, 2024 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Foz do Iguacu
1:0
May 11, 2022 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Foz do Iguacu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foz do Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaua Gomes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alex Oliveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AA Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Maikinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foz do Iguacu 31 / 100
AA Iguacu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foz do Iguacu AA Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foz do Iguacu scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Foz do Iguacu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AA Iguacu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Foz do Iguacu VS AA Iguacu
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Foz do Iguacu

(Home)
19 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 1
Foz do Iguacu
13 Sept
Foz do Iguacu
2 : 2
Londrina B
05 Sept
Azuriz
2 : 0
Foz do Iguacu
29 Aug
FC Cascavel
1 : 3
Foz do Iguacu
07 Feb
Foz do Iguacu
1 : 3
Athletico-PR
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AA Iguacu

(Away)
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
23 Aug
Iraty
2 : 0
AA Iguacu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galo Maringa 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Paranavai-PR 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
3 Foz do Iguacu 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Patriotas 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
5 Nacional PR 9 3 2 4 9:12 11
6 Batel 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
7 Laranja Mecanica 9 2 4 3 5:9 10
8 Toledo 9 2 3 4 6:13 9
9 AA Iguacu 9 1 3 5 10:14 6
10 Parana S.T.C. 9 1 3 5 7:12 6
Promotion - Paranaense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 (Main)