Sport Picks
Match Events
77'
77'
Pelegrin J.
81'
81'
San Agustin C.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Fraga and Calamocha finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Calamocha come out ahead of Fraga on wins alone.
- Fraga are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fraga Clean Sheet 20%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fraga | Calamocha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Calamocha
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Fraga
2:2
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Calamocha
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Fraga
3:1
May 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Calamocha
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fraga Compare
Top Goalscorer San Agustin C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Calamocha Compare
Top Goalscorer Pelegrin J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fraga 49 / 100
Calamocha 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fraga Calamocha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fraga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fraga found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Fraga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Calamocha let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Fraga VS Calamocha
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Fraga
(Home) 13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1 Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2 Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1 Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0 Andorra CF
27 Apr
Binefar
3 : 1 Fraga
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1 Almudevar
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0 Andorra CF
17 Apr
Fraga
0 : 0 Zuera
30 Mar
Fraga
0 : 1 CD Caspe
16 Mar
Fraga
3 : 1 CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 3
Calamocha
(Away) 13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0 Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1 Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1 Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0 Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0 Huesca B
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0 Calamocha
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1 Calamocha
19 Apr
CD Cuarte
0 : 0 Calamocha
02 Apr
CD Caspe
0 : 0 Calamocha
22 Mar
UD Casetas
0 : 2 Calamocha
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebro | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 49:20 | 65 |
| 2 | Huesca B | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 49:36 | 58 |
| 3 | CD Cuarte | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 38:25 | 57 |
| 4 | Atletico Monzon | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 52:35 | 57 |
| 5 | Binefar | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 44:27 | 56 |
| 6 | Zuera | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 38:29 | 49 |
| 7 | Calamocha | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:37 | 47 |
| 8 | Epila | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 31:30 | 47 |
| 9 | Tamarite | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 10 | Utrillas | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 29:39 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Caspe | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 27:31 | 41 |
| 12 | Andorra CF | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 34:38 | 40 |
| 13 | Almudevar | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:36 | 39 |
| 14 | CD Belchite 97 | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:34 | 39 |
| 15 | La Almunia | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 33:45 | 39 |
| 16 | Fraga | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 17 | Brea | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 26:43 | 35 |
| 18 | Fuentes | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 20:54 | 32 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
