Sport Picks

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Fram vs Keflavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Dimitrijevic V.
Assist: Garcia I.
49' Event
Dimitrijevic V.
Assist: Sigurdsson F.
55'
Al Ghoul M.

AI Match Summary

Fram in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fram.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Fram
15%
Draws
40%
Keflavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fram lately — more wins on the board than Keflavik.
  • Fram are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fram Keflavik
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.61 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Fram
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Keflavik
3:1
Mar 6, 2026 League Cup
Keflavik vs Fram
4:3
Sep 28, 2023 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Keflavik
3:1
Aug 27, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Fram
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimitrijevic V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Runolfsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragnarsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fram 34 / 100
Keflavik 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fram Keflavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Keflavik has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Fram stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fram VS Keflavik
2 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fram

(Home)
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1
Stjarnan
10 Aug
Fram
2 : 5
KR Reykjavik
01 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 2
Fram
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
18 Jul
Valur
2 : 3
Fram
Page 1 of 6

Keflavik

(Away)
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2
Keflavik
09 Aug
Stjarnan
1 : 0
Keflavik
05 Aug
Keflavik
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
24 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
5 : 1
Keflavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 20 16 3 1 64:18 51
2 KR Reykjavik 20 13 4 3 72:45 43
3 Fram 19 12 4 3 48:35 40
4 Breidablik 19 8 6 5 39:33 30
5 Keflavik 20 8 4 8 31:34 28
6 Akranes 20 7 5 8 34:38 26
7 Stjarnan 20 7 3 10 38:48 24
8 Valur 20 7 2 11 35:42 23
9 Hafnarfjordur 20 3 9 8 25:37 18
10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 20 4 5 11 30:42 17
11 KA Akureyri 20 4 4 12 31:45 16
12 Thor Akureyri 20 4 3 13 20:50 15
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)