Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Francana W vs Marilia W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Francana W play Marilia W in the Paulista Women 2010. Francana W are favorites here. Recently, Francana W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.55 conceded. Marilia W averaged 1.3 goals scored and 4 conceded. In past meetings, Francana W won 3, Marilia W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 13, 2011 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.25 for Francana W and 1.19 for Marilia W. This points to a Francana W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Francana W
15%
Draws
22%
Marilia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Francana W picked up more points recently compared to Marilia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Francana W Clean Sheet 20%
Marilia W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francana W Marilia W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 1.33 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.55 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2011 Paulista Women
Francana W vs Marilia W
3:1
May 29, 2011 Paulista Women
Marilia W vs Francana W
1:6
Aug 14, 2010 Paulista Women
Marilia W vs Francana W
1:2
May 29, 2010 Paulista Women
Francana W vs Marilia W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francana W 61 / 100
Marilia W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francana W Marilia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francana W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Francana W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Francana W attacking → ← attacking Marilia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francana W scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Marilia W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Francana W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Marilia W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 16
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771