Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fratria play Pirin Blagoevgrad in the Vtora liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fratria averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Pirin Blagoevgrad averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Fratria won 1, Pirin Blagoevgrad won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Fratria and 1.00 for Pirin Blagoevgrad. This points to a Fratria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fratria
35%
Draws
25%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Fratria picked up more points recently compared to Pirin Blagoevgrad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Fratria Clean Sheet 23%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.61 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
3:0
Nov 21, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Marinov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kapitanov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 41 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Pirin Blagoevgrad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fratria or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fratria attacking → ← attacking Pirin Blagoevgrad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Pirin Blagoevgrad let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Fratria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pirin Blagoevgrad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 28
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219