Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredrikstad vs Viking

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Christiansen P.
Assist: Fuglestad N.
59' Event
Stensness G.
Assist: Tripic Z.
63'
Sub
Holme F. In: Ghebreyohannes F.
Out: Holme F.

AI Match Summary

Viking in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Viking.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Fredrikstad
6%
Draws
90%
Viking
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Viking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Viking have won more games recently than Fredrikstad.
  • Win probability leans Viking's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Viking have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 13%
Viking Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad Viking
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Viking
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Viking
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Eliteserien
Viking vs Fredrikstad
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Viking vs Fredrikstad
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Viking
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohlenschlaeger O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Viking Compare

Top Goalscorer Christiansen P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stensness G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad 10 / 100
Viking 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad Viking

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Viking's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fredrikstad stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad VS Viking
1 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad

(Home)
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
Page 1 of 6

Viking

(Away)
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1
Viking
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1 : 1
Viking
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)