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Freital vs Einheit Wernigerode

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Freital and Einheit Wernigerode finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Freital
15%
Draws
34%
Einheit Wernigerode
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Freital carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Freital taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Freital Clean Sheet 19%
Einheit Wernigerode Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freital Einheit Wernigerode
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.82 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Einheit Wernigerode
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Einheit Wernigerode vs Freital
0:5
Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Einheit Wernigerode
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Einheit Wernigerode vs Freital
3:4
Mar 10, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Einheit Wernigerode vs Freital
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freital 76 / 100
Einheit Wernigerode 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freital Einheit Wernigerode

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Einheit Wernigerode conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Freital scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Difficult form: Einheit Wernigerode registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freital VS Einheit Wernigerode
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Freital

(Home)
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
30 May
Rsv Eintracht
2 : 1
Freital
17 May
Freital
2 : 0
Auerbach
10 May
Halberstadt
1 : 3
Freital
01 May
Freital
1 : 2
Halle
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Einheit Wernigerode

(Away)
07 Aug
Halberstadt
3 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
30 May
Heiligenstadt
4 : 3
Einheit Wernigerode
17 May
Einheit Wernigerode
1 : 1
Glauchau
10 May
Stendal
3 : 0
Einheit Wernigerode
02 May
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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