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Stadium Background

Frejus Saint Raphael vs Limonest

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Le Bihan M.
8' Event
Royet M.
45' Event
Cateland S.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Frejus Saint Raphael and Limonest finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Limonest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Frejus Saint Raphael
15%
Draws
39%
Limonest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Medium Confidence
  • Frejus Saint Raphael have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Limonest are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 11%
Limonest Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frejus Saint Raphael Limonest
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Limonest
1:4
Nov 22, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Bihan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Limonest Compare

Top Goalscorer Royet M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cateland S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frejus Saint Raphael 35 / 100
Limonest 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frejus Saint Raphael Limonest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Limonest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Frejus Saint Raphael scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Frejus Saint Raphael went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frejus Saint Raphael VS Limonest
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Home)
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 0
Saint Priest
18 Apr
Rumilly Vallieres
1 : 3
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 6

Limonest

(Away)
16 May
Limonest
2 : 3
Nimes
09 May
Creteil
2 : 0
Limonest
02 May
Limonest
1 : 3
RC Grasse
25 Apr
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 2
Limonest
18 Apr
Limonest
2 : 0
Toulon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)