Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Western Australia 2025 Hilton Park

Joondalup City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fremantle City play Joondalup City in the NPL Western Australia 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fremantle City averaged 2 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Joondalup City averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Fremantle City won 1, Joondalup City won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Fremantle City and 1.56 for Joondalup City. This points to a Fremantle City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Fremantle City

22%

Draws

35%

Joondalup City

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fremantle City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Fremantle City picked up more points recently compared to Joondalup City.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Fremantle City Clean Sheet 15%

Joondalup City Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fremantle City	Joondalup City
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	14	14
Draws	8	5
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	2	1.86
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 NPL Western Australia

Fremantle City vs Joondalup City

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fremantle City Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi L.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Joondalup City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fremantle City 42 / 100

Joondalup City 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fremantle City Joondalup City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fremantle City or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fremantle City attacking → ← attacking Joondalup City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fremantle City scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Joondalup City let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Fremantle City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Joondalup City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 47

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63