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FSV Schwerin vs Hertha Zehlendorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FSV Schwerin play Hertha Zehlendorf in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, FSV Schwerin averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Hertha Zehlendorf averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, FSV Schwerin won 2, Hertha Zehlendorf won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 25, 2023 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for FSV Schwerin and 1.25 for Hertha Zehlendorf. This points to a FSV Schwerin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FSV Schwerin
17%
Draws
36%
Hertha Zehlendorf
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FSV Schwerin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • FSV Schwerin picked up more points recently compared to Hertha Zehlendorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
FSV Schwerin Clean Sheet 19%
Hertha Zehlendorf Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FSV Schwerin Hertha Zehlendorf
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.57 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
FSV Schwerin vs Hertha Zehlendorf
2:2
Sep 11, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hertha Zehlendorf vs FSV Schwerin
4:1
May 22, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Hertha Zehlendorf vs FSV Schwerin
4:0
Oct 16, 2021 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
FSV Schwerin vs Hertha Zehlendorf
3:1
Apr 14, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
FSV Schwerin vs Hertha Zehlendorf
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FSV Schwerin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamadou A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seki K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hertha Zehlendorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Ihbe M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stiller E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FSV Schwerin 46 / 100
Hertha Zehlendorf 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FSV Schwerin Hertha Zehlendorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FSV Schwerin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FSV Schwerin attacking → ← attacking Hertha Zehlendorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FSV Schwerin scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Hertha Zehlendorf let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FSV Schwerin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hertha Zehlendorf lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hansa Rostock II34256394:2881
2Rostocker FC34223977:3869
3TUS Makkabi34207773:3267
4Hertha Zehlendorf34188871:4062
5Rsv Eintracht341512756:5357
6CFC Hertha341471348:4449
7Blau Weiss Berlin341461459:6048
8Dynamo Schwerin341391248:5448
9TSG Neustrelitz341381355:5447
10Furstenwalde3412111148:5647
11Mahlsdorf3411131048:5246
12SV Tasmania Berlin341161745:6139
13Rathenow34971842:6034
14SC Staaken34891746:6133
15Neuruppin347111643:5732
161.FC Frankfurt34942143:7231
17Pampow34791851:8330
18FSV Schwerin34842247:8928