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Fuentes vs Almudevar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ainoza M.
86' Event
Ainoza M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Fuentes and Almudevar finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almudevar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fuentes
20%
Draws
44%
Almudevar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almudevar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almudevar come out ahead of Fuentes on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Fuentes Clean Sheet 20%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuentes Almudevar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.6 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Almudevar
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Fuentes
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Almudevar
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Fuentes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuentes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Almudevar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ainoza M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuentes 36 / 100
Almudevar 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuentes Almudevar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almudevar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almudevar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Fuentes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Almudevar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Fuentes's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Almudevar
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuentes

(Home)
10 May
Fuentes
0 : 3
Epila
04 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Fuentes
27 Apr
Fuentes
0 : 0
La Almunia
20 Apr
Fuentes
1 : 0
Utrillas
12 Apr
Calamocha
2 : 1
Fuentes
Page 1 of 6

Almudevar

(Away)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)