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Fukushima United vs Gifu

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Toho, Fukushima
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Miura K. In: Higuchi H.
Out: Miura K.
27'
Tanaka K.
33'
Kita R.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Fukushima United and Gifu finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gifu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fukushima United
15%
Draws
39%
Gifu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fukushima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gifu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 15%
Gifu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fukushima United Gifu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 J2/J3 League
Fukushima United vs Gifu
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gifu vs Fukushima United
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 J3 League
Gifu vs Fukushima United
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Gifu
4:3
Oct 6, 2024 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Gifu
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fukushima United Compare

Top Goalscorer Okada Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gifu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kita R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yokoyama T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fukushima United 30 / 100
Gifu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fukushima United Gifu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fukushima United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fukushima United's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Gifu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Fukushima United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fukushima United VS Gifu
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fukushima United

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3
Fukushima United
29 Aug
Fukushima United
2 : 2
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

Gifu

(Away)
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Gifu
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1
Gifu
05 Sept
Gifu
0 : 1
Kanazawa
02 Sept
Gifu
1 : 0
Tokushima
29 Aug
Gifu
4 : 1
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)