Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fukuyama City vs FC Tokushima

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Fujiwara S.
63' Event
Matsui H.
83' Event
Fujii A.

AI Match Summary

Fukuyama City in this Emperors Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Fukuyama City
28%
Draws
50%
FC Tokushima
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Fukuyama City have won more games recently than FC Tokushima.
  • Win probability leans FC Tokushima's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Fukuyama City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fukuyama City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fukuyama City Clean Sheet 20%
FC Tokushima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fukuyama City FC Tokushima
Matches Played 12 3
Wins 4 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.38 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Emperors Cup
Fukuyama City vs FC Tokushima
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fukuyama City Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsui H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fujii A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Fujiwara S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fukuyama City 24 / 100
FC Tokushima 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fukuyama City FC Tokushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tokushima let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Fukuyama City's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Tokushima's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fukuyama City VS FC Tokushima
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Fukuyama City

(Home)
11 Jun
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Fukuyama City
25 May
Fukuyama City
2 : 1
FC Tokushima
24 Feb
Tokushima
3 : 1
Fukuyama City
12 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
8 : 0
Fukuyama City
01 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 1
Fukuyama City
Page 1 of 3

FC Tokushima

(Away)
25 May
Fukuyama City
2 : 1
FC Tokushima
07 Jun
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5 : 0
FC Tokushima
11 Nov
Kochi United
2 : 1
FC Tokushima

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Machida Zelvia-
TBD-
Kyoto Sangyo3
Moriyama Samurai1
Vegalta Sendai-
TBD-
Toyama2
Juntendo University1
Kyoto-
TBD-
Nara Club3
Niigata University1
Yokohama FC-
TBD-
Iwate Grulla Morioka6
North Asia University0
Kashima Antlers-
TBD-
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Hosei0
V-Varen Nagasaki-
TBD-
Omiya Ardija0
Tsukuba Univ.1
Avispa Fukuoka-
TBD-
Okinawa4
Verspah Oita1
Okayama-
TBD-
Belugarosso Iwami0
Giravanz Kitakyushu1
FC Tokyo-
TBD-
Kanazawa6
Chukyo0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo-
TBD-
Oita Trinita2
Lvnirosso0
Cerezo Osaka-
TBD-
Arterivo Wakayama4
Basara Hyogo3
Tokushima-
TBD-
TBD-
Renofa Yamaguchi-
Gamba Osaka-
TBD-
Veertien Mie1
Yamanashi Gakuin0
Montedio Yamagata-
TBD-
Imabari0
Kagoshima United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Urawa Reds-
Kawasaki Frontale-
TBD-
Fukushima United9
Tokyo International University1
Iwata-
TBD-
Mito0
SC Sagamihara1
Yokohama F. Marinos-
TBD-
Reinmeer Aomori5
BTOP Hokkaido0
Iwaki-
TBD-
TBD-
Blaublitz-
Vissel Kobe-
TBD-
Kamatamare Sanuki2
Kochi United3
Kofu-
TBD-
Fukui Utd.1
Honda FC0
Albirex Niigata-
TBD-
Fukuyama City2
FC Tokushima1
Kashiwa Reysol-
TBD-
Sendai University2
Toyo University4
Verdy-
TBD-
Tochigi SC5
Oyama0
Sagan Tosu-
TBD-
Ehime1
Mitsubishi Nagasaki0
Nagoya Grampus-
TBD-
Veroskronos Tsuno2
Gainare Tottori1
Chiba-
TBD-
TBD-
Kumamoto-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima-
TBD-
Brew Saga2
Hirondelle Kumamoto1
Fujieda MYFC-
TBD-
Baleine Shimonoseki2
International Pacific Univesity1
Shonan Bellmare-
TBD-
Gifu3
Toyama Shinjo1
Shimizu S-Pulse-
TBD-
Matsumoto Yamaga2
FC Osaka1
1/32-finals
Machida Zelvia2
Kyoto Sangyo1
Vegalta Sendai0
Toyama1
Kyoto1
Nara Club0
Yokohama FC2
Iwate Grulla Morioka1
Kashima Antlers4
Thespakusatsu Gunma0
V-Varen Nagasaki2
Tsukuba Univ.1
Avispa Fukuoka2
Okinawa0
Okayama0
Giravanz Kitakyushu2
FC Tokyo3
Kanazawa1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo2
Oita Trinita3
Cerezo Osaka5
Arterivo Wakayama0
Tokushima2
Renofa Yamaguchi1
Gamba Osaka2
Veertien Mie1
Montedio Yamagata2
Kagoshima United1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Urawa Reds-
Kawasaki Frontale4
Fukushima United3
Iwata1
SC Sagamihara2
Yokohama F. Marinos0
Reinmeer Aomori2
Iwaki1
Blaublitz2
Vissel Kobe4
Kochi United1
Kofu2
Fukui Utd.1
Albirex Niigata1
Fukuyama City0
Kashiwa Reysol0
Toyo University2
Verdy3
Tochigi SC1
Sagan Tosu1
Ehime0
Nagoya Grampus3
Veroskronos Tsuno0
Chiba1
Kumamoto2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Brew Saga1
Fujieda MYFC2
Baleine Shimonoseki0
Shonan Bellmare2
Gifu0
Shimizu S-Pulse4
Matsumoto Yamaga2
1/16-finals
Machida Zelvia2
Toyama1
Kyoto4
Yokohama FC3
Kashima Antlers2
V-Varen Nagasaki1
Avispa Fukuoka1
Giravanz Kitakyushu0
FC Tokyo2
Oita Trinita0
Cerezo Osaka2
Tokushima0
Gamba Osaka4
Montedio Yamagata5
TBD-
Urawa Reds-
Kawasaki Frontale0
SC Sagamihara1
Reinmeer Aomori1
Blaublitz2
Vissel Kobe2
Kofu1
Albirex Niigata1
Toyo University2
Verdy1
Sagan Tosu0
Nagoya Grampus2
Kumamoto1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima5
Fujieda MYFC2
Shonan Bellmare0
Shimizu S-Pulse1
1/8-finals
Machida Zelvia1
Kyoto0
Kashima Antlers3
Avispa Fukuoka2
FC Tokyo2
Cerezo Osaka1
Montedio Yamagata1
Urawa Reds2
SC Sagamihara2
Blaublitz1
Vissel Kobe2
Toyo University1
Verdy1
Nagoya Grampus2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Shimizu S-Pulse0
Quarter-finals
Machida Zelvia3
Kashima Antlers0
FC Tokyo2
Urawa Reds1
SC Sagamihara1
Vissel Kobe2
Nagoya Grampus2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4
Semi-finals
Machida Zelvia2
FC Tokyo0
Vissel Kobe2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0
Final
Machida Zelvia3
Vissel Kobe1