Sport Picks
Fulham vs Aston Villa
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Craven Cottage, London 
Match Events
43'
43'
Sessegnon R.
46'
46'
Castagne T.
49'
49'
Torres P.
AI Match Summary
Fulham in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fulham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Aston Villa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aston Villa lately — more wins on the board than Fulham.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Aston Villa taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Aston Villa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fulham Clean Sheet 14%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fulham | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Aston Villa
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Fulham
3:1
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Fulham
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Aston Villa
1:3
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Aston Villa
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fulham Compare
Top Goalscorer Sessegnon R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Aston Villa Compare
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fulham 19 / 100
Aston Villa 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fulham Aston Villa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fulham scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Aston Villa conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Fulham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fulham VS Aston Villa
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Fulham
(Home) 28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Fulham
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1 Fulham
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
25 Apr
Fulham
1 : 0 Aston Villa
21 Mar
Fulham
3 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 3
Aston Villa
(Away) 28 Jul
Aston Villa
2 : 4 Real Sociedad
25 Jul
FC Porto
2 : 1 Aston Villa
21 Jul
Walsall
0 : 5 Aston Villa
24 May
Manchester City
1 : 2 Aston Villa
20 May
Freiburg
0 : 3 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
FC Porto
2 : 1 Aston Villa
21 Jul
Walsall
0 : 5 Aston Villa
24 May
Manchester City
1 : 2 Aston Villa
20 May
Freiburg
0 : 3 Aston Villa
10 May
Burnley
2 : 2 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
