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Fulham vs Burnley

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Craven Cottage, London
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sub
Mejbri H. In: Ugochukwu L.
Out: Mejbri H.
37'
Laurent J.
55'
Robinson A.

AI Match Summary

Fulham in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fulham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Fulham
17%
Draws
13%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Fulham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fulham lately — more wins on the board than Burnley.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Fulham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fulham Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham Burnley
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Burnley
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Burnley vs Fulham
2:3
Feb 3, 2024 Premier League
Burnley vs Fulham
2:2
Dec 23, 2023 Premier League
Fulham vs Burnley
0:2
May 10, 2021 Premier League
Fulham vs Burnley
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulham Compare

Top Goalscorer King J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Flemming Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 67 / 100
Burnley 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Fulham scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Fulham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS Burnley
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham

(Home)
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Fulham
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2
Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1
Fulham
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1
Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6

Burnley

(Away)
26 Jul
Ajax
2 : 1
Burnley
16 Jul
Real Salt Lake
4 : 1
Burnley
12 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 1
Burnley
10 Jul
FC Cincinnati
3 : 1
Burnley
24 May
Burnley
1 : 1
Wolves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)