Sport Picks

England

Premier League 2025/2026 Craven Cottage

Fulham

3 - 1

Burnley

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Sub

Mejbri H. In: Ugochukwu L.

Out: Mejbri H.

37'

Laurent J.

55'

Robinson A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fulham in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fulham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Fulham

33%

Draws

27%

Burnley

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fulham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Fulham lately — more wins on the board than Burnley.
40% — that's where the model lands on Fulham taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Fulham Clean Sheet 20%

Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fulham	Burnley
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	2
Draws	5	10
Losses	13	18
Goals Scored	0.63	0.63
Goals Conceded	1	2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League

Fulham vs Burnley

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Dec 13, 2025 Premier League

Burnley vs Fulham

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

2:3

Feb 3, 2024 Premier League

Burnley vs Fulham

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Dec 23, 2023 Premier League

Fulham vs Burnley

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

May 10, 2021 Premier League

Fulham vs Burnley

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulham Compare

Top Goalscorer King J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Wilson H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Flemming Z.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 40 / 100

Burnley 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fulham Burnley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Fulham scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Fulham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS Burnley

0.63 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 2

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71:27	85
2	Manchester City	38	23	9	6	77:35	78
3	Manchester United	38	20	11	7	69:50	71
4	Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	56:49	65
5	Liverpool	38	17	9	12	63:53	60
6	Bournemouth	38	13	18	7	58:54	57
7	Sunderland	38	14	12	12	42:48	54
8	Brighton	38	14	11	13	52:46	53
9	Brentford	38	14	11	13	55:52	53
10	Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58:52	52
11	Fulham	38	15	7	16	47:51	52
12	Newcastle Utd	38	14	7	17	53:55	49
13	Everton	38	13	10	15	47:50	49
14	Leeds	38	11	14	13	49:56	47
15	Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	41:51	45
16	Nottingham	38	11	11	16	48:51	44
17	Tottenham	38	10	11	17	48:57	41
18	West Ham	38	10	9	19	46:65	39
19	Burnley	38	4	10	24	38:75	22
20	Wolves	38	3	11	24	27:68	20