Sport Picks
Fulham vs Cambridge Utd
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Craven Cottage, London 
Match Events
44'
44'
Reed H.
45'
45'
Smith K.
60'
60'
Sub
Reed H. In: King J.
Out: Reed H.
AI Match Summary
Fulham in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cambridge Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fulham haven't matched Cambridge Utd's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Cambridge Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cambridge Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fulham Clean Sheet 21%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fulham | Cambridge Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2025 EFL Cup
Fulham vs Cambridge Utd
1:0
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Fulham vs Cambridge Utd
1:3
May 3, 1997 League Two
Cambridge Utd vs Fulham
0:1
Oct 15, 1996 League Two
Fulham vs Cambridge Utd
3:0
Mar 16, 1996 League Two
Fulham vs Cambridge Utd
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fulham Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith Rowe E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Cambridge Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fulham 37 / 100
Cambridge Utd 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fulham Cambridge Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fulham found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Fulham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Cambridge Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Fulham VS Cambridge Utd
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fulham
(Home) 01 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 2 Fulham
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Fulham
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1 Fulham
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
25 Apr
Fulham
1 : 0 Aston Villa
21 Mar
Fulham
3 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 3
Cambridge Utd
(Away) 04 Aug
Norwich
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0 Northampton
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1 Cambridge Utd
14 Jul
Southend
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
11 Jul
Cambridge City
1 : 3 Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 7
04 Aug
Norwich
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1 Cambridge Utd
14 Jul
Southend
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
11 Jul
Cambridge City
1 : 3 Cambridge Utd
02 May
Crewe
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
