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Fulham vs Nottingham

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Estádio de São Luís, Faro
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Wilson H.
20' Event
Wilson H.
46'
Sub
Bassey C. In: Diop I.
Out: Bassey C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Fulham and Nottingham finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fulham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Fulham
28%
Draws
50%
Nottingham
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nottingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nottingham's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Fulham have produced (0.63).
  • Win probability leans Nottingham's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fulham here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fulham Clean Sheet 16%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham Nottingham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Nottingham vs Fulham
0:0
Dec 22, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Nottingham
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Fulham vs Nottingham
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Nottingham
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
Nottingham vs Fulham
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulham Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andreas Pereira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nottingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood Ch.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 23 / 100
Nottingham 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham Nottingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nottingham let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Fulham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS Nottingham
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham

(Home)
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Fulham
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2
Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1
Fulham
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1
Bournemouth
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Nottingham

(Away)
26 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Nottingham
22 Jul
Nottingham
3 : 0
Blackburn
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2
Nottingham
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Bournemouth
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2
Nottingham
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