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Stadium Background

GAIS vs Elfsborg

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Agren O.
46'
Sub
Andersson M. In: Sletsjoe H.
Out: Andersson M.
51' Event
Thorkelsson R.
Assist: Niklasson R.

AI Match Summary

GAIS in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored GAIS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
GAIS
22%
Draws
18%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: GAIS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GAIS lately — more wins on the board than Elfsborg.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on GAIS taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and GAIS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
GAIS Clean Sheet 20%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GAIS Elfsborg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Elfsborg
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
GAIS vs Elfsborg
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Elfsborg
2:0
May 5, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs GAIS
2:0
Mar 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs GAIS
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GAIS Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorkelsson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Elfsborg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GAIS 58 / 100
Elfsborg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GAIS Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: GAIS scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

GAIS went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Elfsborg conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

GAIS VS Elfsborg
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GAIS

(Home)
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
06 Jul
Brommapojkarna
1 : 1
GAIS
27 Jun
Valerenga
1 : 2
GAIS
17 Jun
GAIS
1 : 1
Halmstad
30 May
GAIS
3 : 0
Kalmar
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Elfsborg

(Away)
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
29 May
Orgryte
2 : 2
Elfsborg
25 May
Elfsborg
1 : 1
Hacken
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius12102033:1532
2Hammarby1372428:1423
3AIK1363418:1821
4Hacken1255225:2220
5Djurgarden1161426:1519
6Malmo FF1261525:2019
7GAIS1454518:1419
8Vasteras SK1354422:2319
9Elfsborg1346317:1418
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1241714:1713
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1224612:1910
15Orgryte1223714:319
16Halmstad1213810:266
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)