Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GAIS vs Elfsborg

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Agren O.
46'
Sub
Andersson M. In: Sletsjoe H.
Out: Andersson M.
51' Event
Thorkelsson R.
Assist: Niklasson R.

AI Match Summary

GAIS in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored GAIS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
GAIS
20%
Draws
47%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elfsborg lately — more wins on the board than GAIS.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and GAIS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
GAIS Clean Sheet 15%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GAIS Elfsborg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Elfsborg
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
GAIS vs Elfsborg
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Elfsborg
2:0
May 5, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs GAIS
2:0
Mar 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs GAIS
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GAIS Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorkelsson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Elfsborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GAIS 30 / 100
Elfsborg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GAIS Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: GAIS scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Elfsborg let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: GAIS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GAIS VS Elfsborg
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GAIS

(Home)
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
05 Sept
GAIS
0 : 0
Hacken
31 Aug
GAIS
4 : 0
Brommapojkarna
27 Aug
Husqvarna
0 : 7
GAIS
23 Aug
Hammarby
2 : 0
GAIS
Page 1 of 6

Elfsborg

(Away)
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Sept
Brommapojkarna
2 : 1
Elfsborg
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1
Elfsborg
18 Aug
Frolunda
0 : 4
Elfsborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 21 15 3 3 50:27 48
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
5 Malmo FF 21 10 3 8 37:31 33
6 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
7 AIK 21 9 6 6 30:32 33
8 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 32:35 32
9 IFK Goteborg 21 8 5 8 30:41 29
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 21 7 6 8 30:35 27
12 Mjallby 21 5 7 9 27:35 22
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 21 3 6 12 24:47 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)