Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Buceta P.
25'
25'
Buceta P.
74'
74'
Gomez de Figueroa A.
AI Match Summary
Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Galapagar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Galapagar average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of CD Las Rozas's 1.36.
- Win probability leans Galapagar's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Galapagar | CD Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas
1:1
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Galapagar
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Galapagar
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Galapagar Compare
Top Goalscorer Buceta P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gomez de Figueroa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
CD Las Rozas Compare
Top Goalscorer Cuellar A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Galapagar 95 / 100
CD Las Rozas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Galapagar CD Las Rozas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Galapagar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Galapagar found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
CD Las Rozas has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.
Scoring Trends
Galapagar VS CD Las Rozas
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Galapagar
(Home) 20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5 Galapagar
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2 Alcorcon B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 3 Mexico
Page 1 of 4
CD Las Rozas
(Away) 20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2 Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3 CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3 CD Las Rozas
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3 CD Las Rozas
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
