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Galapagar vs Moratalaz

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Galapagar Logo

Galapagar

3 - 2
FT
Moratalaz Logo

Moratalaz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 game between Galapagar and Moratalaz finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Galapagar
20%
Draws
17%
Moratalaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Galapagar come out ahead of Moratalaz on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Galapagar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar Moratalaz
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.42 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Moratalaz
3:2
Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Galapagar
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 95 / 100
Moratalaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar Moratalaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalaz has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Galapagar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Galapagar found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
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Moratalaz

(Away)
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6
AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4
Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
03 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 3
Moratalaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)