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Galapagar vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sanchez B.
65' Event
Sanchez J.
Own Goal
89' Event
Alonso R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 game between Galapagar and Villanueva del Pardillo CF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villanueva del Pardillo CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Galapagar
30%
Draws
8%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Villanueva del Pardillo CF haven't matched Galapagar's recent run of results.
  • Galapagar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.37 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Galapagar
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alonso R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 95 / 100
Villanueva del Pardillo CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar Villanueva del Pardillo CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Galapagar scored in 82% of their last 38 outings.

Defensive concern: Villanueva del Pardillo CF conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Galapagar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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Villanueva del Pardillo CF

(Away)
12 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 2
Tres Cantos
05 May
Canillas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
01 May
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
0 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
28 Apr
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
21 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 0
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid C 34 23 7 4 62:18 76
2 CD Mostoles 34 17 12 5 57:33 63
3 Leganes B 34 16 10 8 47:33 58
4 CD Las Rozas 34 13 11 10 51:39 50
5 Colonia Moscardo 34 14 8 12 48:48 50
6 RSD Alcala 34 13 9 12 52:47 48
7 Tres Cantos 34 14 6 14 45:48 48
8 Alcorcon B 34 11 12 11 36:33 45
9 AD Torrejon 34 9 17 8 40:38 44
10 Galapagar 34 10 11 13 44:55 41
11 Paracuellos Antamira 34 10 10 14 39:47 40
12 Trival Valderas 34 8 16 10 33:40 40
13 Canillas 34 10 10 14 35:46 40
14 Collado Villalba 34 10 9 15 42:46 39
15 Rayo Vallecano B 34 11 6 17 43:57 39
16 Parla 34 9 11 14 37:47 38
17 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
18 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 5 14 15 28:52 29
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 (Play Offs)