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Gama vs Rio Branco ES

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Valmir Campelo Bezerra (Bezerrao), Gama
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gui Mendes

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Rio Branco ES advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gama
44%
Draws
20%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Gama have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Branco ES, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gama Clean Sheet 24%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 21 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Gama vs Rio Branco ES
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rio Branco ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Gui Mendes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 37 / 100
Rio Branco ES 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gama scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Rio Branco ES has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Gama went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS Rio Branco ES
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
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Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vila Nova FC1
Anapolis2
Gama0
Rio Branco ES1
Final
Anapolis4
Rio Branco ES2