Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gambia Ports vs Dutch Lions Prediction & H2H Stats

Gambia Gambia

GFA League Serrekunda East Mini-Stadium, Serrekunda
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Jarju J.

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Gambia Ports and Dutch Lions finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gambia Ports.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gambia Ports
20%
Draws
29%
Dutch Lions
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gambia Ports

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gambia Ports carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gambia Ports's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Gambia Ports Clean Sheet 68%
Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia Ports Dutch Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 13
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Dutch Lions
1:0
Feb 12, 2026 GFA League
Dutch Lions vs Gambia Ports
0:0
Jul 17, 2024 GFA League
Gambia Ports vs Dutch Lions
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gambia Ports Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarju J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dutch Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia Ports 59 / 100
Dutch Lions 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia Ports Dutch Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia Ports Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia Ports has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Dutch Lions registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gambia Ports scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Dutch Lions conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gambia Ports VS Dutch Lions
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia Ports

(Home)
22 Jun
Gambia Ports
0 : 1
Medina United
17 Jun
Gambia Ports
4 : 0
Team Rhino
10 Jun
Hawks
0 : 0
Gambia Ports
06 Jun
Gambia Ports
1 : 0
Dutch Lions
02 Jun
Gambia Ports
0 : 1
Baalor Sarr
Page 1 of 6

Dutch Lions

(Away)
22 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 3
Brikama United
17 Jun
Medina United
2 : 1
Dutch Lions
11 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 4
TMT
06 Jun
Gambia Ports
1 : 0
Dutch Lions
25 May
Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Hawks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)