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Gambia W vs Nigeria W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nigeria W in this Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gambia W
15%
Draws
57%
Nigeria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nigeria W lately — more wins on the board than Gambia W.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Nigeria W taking it.
  • Nigeria W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gambia W Clean Sheet 10%
Nigeria W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia W Nigeria W
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.52 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Gambia W
6:0
Jun 6, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Gambia W vs Nigeria W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia W 10 / 100
Nigeria W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia W Nigeria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gambia W scored in 71% of their last 21 outings.

Nigeria W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Nigeria W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gambia W VS Nigeria W
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia W

(Home)
28 Oct
Gambia W
0 : 1
Kenya W
24 Oct
Kenya W
3 : 1
Gambia W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Gambia W
0 : 6
Senegal W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
Page 1 of 5

Nigeria W

(Away)
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
09 Aug
Cameroon W
1 : 0
Nigeria W
05 Aug
Egypt W
2 : 6
Nigeria W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Nigeria W
2 : 3
Malawi W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Algeria W 3
Senegal W 2
Libya W 0
Ethiopia W 15
Ivory Coast W 1
Morocco W 1
Sierra Leone W -
Mali W -
Gambia W 4
Burkina Faso W 3
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W 3
Central Africa W 1
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Kenya W 1
Uganda W 0
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Lesotho W 3
Eswatini W 1
TBD -
South Africa W -
Zambia W 4
Tanzania W 4
Namibia W 0
Zimbabwe W 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Algeria W 6
Ethiopia W 3
Ivory Coast W 2
Mali W 2
Gambia W 0
Nigeria W 7
Congo W 0
Cameroon W 10
Kenya W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 3
Lesotho W 0
South Africa W 7
Zambia W 2
Zimbabwe W 2
TBD -
TBD -