Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations Women 2022 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sierra Leone W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Gambia W have won more games recently than Sierra Leone W.
- Sierra Leone W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Gambia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Gambia W have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gambia W Clean Sheet 11%
Sierra Leone W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gambia W | Sierra Leone W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 18 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.52 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Sierra Leone W vs Gambia W
0:3
Oct 25, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Gambia W vs Sierra Leone W
1:1
Oct 18, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Sierra Leone W vs Gambia W
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gambia W 27 / 100
Sierra Leone W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gambia W Sierra Leone W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sierra Leone W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sierra Leone W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.
Gambia W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (21 games).
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Recent resilience: Gambia W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gambia W VS Sierra Leone W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gambia W
(Home) 28 Oct
Gambia W
0 : 1 Kenya W
24 Oct
Kenya W
3 : 1 Gambia W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3 Gambia W
24 May
Gambia W
0 : 6 Senegal W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3 Gambia W
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28 Oct
Gambia W
0 : 1 Kenya W
24 May
Gambia W
0 : 6 Senegal W
24 Feb
Gambia W
2 : 1 Niger W
21 Sept
Gambia W
2 : 3 Namibia W
23 Feb
Gambia W
1 : 2 Cameroon W
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Sierra Leone W
(Away) 31 May
Sierra Leone W
1 : 0 Senegal W
29 May
Mali W
0 : 1 Sierra Leone W
26 May
Senegal W
1 : 1 Sierra Leone W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1 Guinea W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3 Gambia W
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29 May
Mali W
0 : 1 Sierra Leone W
26 May
Senegal W
1 : 1 Sierra Leone W
20 Feb
Benin W
2 : 1 Sierra Leone W
12 Jul
Ivory Coast W
: Sierra Leone W
25 Oct
Gambia W
1 : 1 Sierra Leone W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Uganda W 3
Ethiopia W 2
Kenya W 15
South Sudan W 1
Eritrea W 0
Burundi W 6
Djibouti W -
Rwanda W -
Malawi W 3
Zambia W 4
Tanzania W 3
Namibia W 5
Zimbabwe W 6
Eswatini W 1
Angola W 1
Botswana W 7
Mozambique W 0
South Africa W 13
Algeria W 14
Sudan W 0
Egypt W 2
Tunisia W 7
Equatorial Guinea W -
D.R. Congo W -
Sao Tome and Principe W 0
Togo W 5
Congo W 2
Gabon W 2
Central Africa W 0
Cameroon W 3
Sierra Leone W 1
Gambia W 3
Liberia W 1
Senegal W 8
Mali W 4
Guinea W 2
Guinea Bissau W 2
Mauritania W 0
Burkina Faso W 5
Benin W 2
Nigeria W 2
Ghana W 1
Niger W 0
Ivory Coast W 20
Final
Uganda W -
Kenya W -
Burundi W 11
Djibouti W 1
Zambia W 1
Namibia W 1
Zimbabwe W 3
Botswana W 3
South Africa W 3
Algeria W 1
Tunisia W 7
Equatorial Guinea W 3
Togo W 4
Gabon W 2
Cameroon W 10
Gambia W 1
Senegal W 2
Mali W 1
Guinea Bissau W 0
Burkina Faso W 7
Nigeria W 3
Ivory Coast W 0
