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Gangneung vs Dangjin Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Son J.
18' Event
Ryu Y.
84' Event
Kim Won-Joon

AI Match Summary

Gangneung in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gangneung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gangneung
6%
Draws
90%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gangneung haven't matched Dangjin Citizen's recent run of results.
  • Dangjin Citizen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 13%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangneung Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Gangneung
5:2
Mar 20, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Dangjin Citizen
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Korean Cup
Dangjin Citizen vs Gangneung
1:2
Jul 3, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Gangneung
3:2
Mar 20, 2022 K3 League
Gangneung vs Dangjin Citizen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangneung Compare

Top Goalscorer Son J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Won-Joon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryu Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangneung 10 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangneung Dangjin Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gangneung scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Dangjin Citizen has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Gangneung stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangneung VS Dangjin Citizen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429